21 Feb

La crise au Cameroun – How does it affect Nigeria?

There is a situation in the South-West and North-West regions of Cameroon. These, the only English-speaking regions in the country, account for about 19 percent of the population.

In November 2016, lawyers and teachers took to the streets to protest against perceived marginalisation and the use of French in courts and schools in the English-speaking regions of the country.

The government responded by sending soldiers and military police to suppress the protests. The

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07 Feb

A critical look at the Southern Kaduna crisis

Dan Azumi moved back home to Sanga in Kaduna in 1994 with his parents. Some of his siblings are married and reside in Fadan Karshi. His late sister, Ande, got married to a Gwandara man and they had five children.

According to Dan, his village was attacked by some Fulani who the villagers claimed had a week prior, sent a letter informing the community they would be carrying out a raid of the community. Men and young adults formed a vigilante group. At about 10pm on the

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02 Feb

Analysis – What does Morocco’s reentry into the AU mean for Nigeria?

The African Union’s re-admittance of Morocco brings to an end a 33 year old dispute that began in 1984 when members of the then Organisation of African Unity—including Nigeria—voted to admit the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (a partially recognized state that controls a thin strip of area in the Western Sahara) into its fold, despite protests from Morocco which has laid claim to the territory.

Western Sahara, a sparsely populated region in the Sahara Desert

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24 Jan

Analysis – Much ado about FX

In December 2016, SBM Intelligence was commissioned to do a study on the FX market. The report was delivered, and the client granted permission for an updated and redacted version to be released to the public six weeks after the presentation of the original report.

Being a largely import dependent consuming economy, Nigeria needs foreign exchange in order to function. This has been the story for half a century at least.

The Nigerian FX market has evolved over the years

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17 Jan

Analysis – A look at Nigeria’s security situation

Last year, Nigeria’s security situation raised a lot of concern. There were surges in cattle rustling, attacks by pastoralists on farming communities, oil theft related violence, and attacks on oil facilities in the Niger Delta region. The Boko Haram insurgency, after a brief lapse, witnessed an increase in suicide attacks, and attacks on military units. All these, and other adventures, ensured that Nigeria’s security apparatus had their hands full all year.

This

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16 Dec

The year ahead – What can Nigeria expect in 2017?

2016 proved to be a difficult year for Nigeria which saw the highs and lows of important metrics. Sadly, there were highs where there should have been lows, and lows where there should have been highs. We had highs in inflation, in unemployment and in deaths from famine while the lows were in oil and tax earnings, FDI, in percentage of CAPEX budget spent, and the list goes on. A summary shows that we were spot on in 79% of our projections for the year.

2016 was the

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06 Dec

The resurgence of Boko Haram

The Boko Haram insurgency entered its seventh year at the beginning of 2016, and a number of important factors have had a substantial effect on developments on this front. In May 2015, Muhammadu Buhari was sworn in as President of Nigeria on an electoral platform that included taking a tougher stance on security issues. Before the elections, a troop surge belatedly approved by the Goodluck Jonathan administration led to marked improvements on the ground in Nigeria’s

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09 Nov

What does President Trump mean for Nigeria?

2016 will go down as the year of the roll back. In Nigeria, we are going through our first recession in nearly two decades. Our colonisers, the United Kingdom, turned their backs on four decades of European Union membership, Turkey, a major Nigerian trading partner, has slowly started turning its back on the legacy of its founder, Kemal Atatürk, and the United States has turned its back on the world.

How will this affect Nigeria?

First, it will have a psychological

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08 Nov

A year in, how has Buhari’s cabinet fared?

The Buhari administration swept into office on the mantra of change and promised to hit the ground running. Critical to delivering on the mandate that was given to the government by Nigerians was the team the President would build. Hence, Nigerians waited with anticipation for President Buhari to announce his ministers after taking office.

After a five month wait, the ministers were finally announced and screened by the Senate in a highly publicised, and well-followed

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19 Oct

Nigeria is playing with fire, again

In a report published in August, it was shown that the Nigerian Army is overstretched in its involvement in internal security operations. As of the time of the report, troops were actively involved in 30 of the 36 states.

When this is situated within the context of the latent threat of a Boko Haram resurgence; the escalating situation in the Middle Belt; the continuing militant activity in the Niger Delta; the IPOB/Biafra movements which though not in open conflict

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